Market Insight

MPC Cuts Policy Rate as Expected; SCB EIC Expects Two More Cuts to 1.25% by Year-End

SCB EIC expects the MPC to cut the policy rate two more times this year, reaching 1.25% by end-2025

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Market Insight

U.S. Imposes Tariffs of up to 972% on Thai Solar Cells, Pressuring Exports to Contract Near Zero by 2026

Market Insight

Thai Exports in March 2025 Achieved the Highest Growth in 3 Years, but Full-Year Outlook Remains at Risk from Trade Wars

The value of Thai merchandise exports in March 25 grew significantly by 17.8%YOY, reaching USD 29,548.25 million—the highest growth rate in 3 years.

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Aftershocks Start to Shake Thailand’s Tourism Sector

Market Insight

Trump Announces Major U.S. Import Tariff Hike — Thailand Hit with 36% Rate, Faces Severe Risks from Global Trade Contraction

Market Insight

Preliminary Assessment of the Earthquake’s Economic Impact on Thailand

SCB EIC estimates the March 28, 2025 earthquake had a limited impact on the Thai economy, costing about THB 30 billion.

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Market Insight

The temporary relaxation of the Loan-to-Value (LTV) measures is appropriate for a sluggish housing market, though its impact may be limited … The housing market in 2025 is expected to continue contracting, albeit at a slower pace compared to the previous

Market Insight

February 2025 exports rose sharply, driven by gold, electronics, and trade war concerns. Exports in March expected to maintain momentum.

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Outlook quarter 1/2025

Market Insight

Highlights from the Business at OECD General Assembly 2025: Delivering Prosperity Through Economic Cooperation

Market Insight

Thai Export Figures for January 2025 Driven by Gold, Upturn in Electronics Cycle, and Preemptive Acceleration ahead of Protection Measures

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SCB EIC Sees Possibility of Further Rate Cut This Year

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Exports in December remain robust, but trade war concerns loom over the second half of 2025

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Exports in November Remain Strong, but SCB EIC Foresees Trade War Pressures Impacting Thai Exports in the latter half of 2025

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Outlook Quarter 4/2024

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SCB EIC anticipates that the MPC still has room to lower the policy rate again next year.

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SCB EIC expects CLMV economic growth in 2025 to slow down slightly, in line with the global economic slowdown. Domestic demand will help mitigate the external impact

Market Insight

October Export Growth Surpasses Expectations Driven by Gold and Electronics; SCB EIC Upgrades 2024 Outlook but Downgrades that of 2025 under Trump 2.0

Market Insight

Trump 2.0: Impact on the Global and Thai Economy

Market Insight

Exports in September continued to expand despite surrounding pressures, increasing the likelihood that the annual growth outlook will surpass the previous forecasts.