Market Insight

Exports in February 2026 slowed, while imports accelerated to the highest level in 50 months; monitoring the impacts of the Middle East war and the outlook for US tariffs.

SCB EIC assesses that Thailand’s international trade this year will face increasing external pressures.

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Market Insight

Outlook quarter 1/2026

Market Insight

The Global and Thai Economies Amid the Uncertainty of the Middle East War

SCB EIC assesses that, under its base case of an average Brent crude oil price of USD 75/bbl this year, Thailand’s economy may grow 0.3 pp more slowly

Market Insight

Thailand on Inflation Watch from The Middle East Conflict

Market Insight

The MPC cut the policy rate to 1%, ahead of market expectations: signals a prolonged low-rate stance, with further easing conditional on downside risk.

Market Insight

Thai exports in January 2026 recorded the strongest growth in four years, but the outlook faces rising uncertainty from additional US tariff measures.

SCB EIC has revised Thai exports’ projection to return to expansion of 1.6% in 2026 (previously -1.5%).

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Market Insight

SCB EIC believes the February 8 election results have lowered political risks to the economy, as a new government is expected to form quickly and restore stability.

Market Insight

Global Supply Set for Turbulence… the United States Moves to Impose a 25% Tariff on AI Chips

Market Insight

Crane Collapse… Exposing Structural Problems in the Construction Sector: Reform or Repeat the Same Mistakes?

Market Insight

Thai exports grew strongly by 12.9% in 2025, while export growth in 2026 is expected to slow considerably, weighed down by the impact of U.S. tariffs and a high base effect.

Market Insight

Exports in November continued to expand for the 17th consecutive month, but face downside risks of a potential contraction in 2026 amid mounting headwinds.

Market Insight

SCB EIC expects slower CLMV growth in 2026 amid U.S. tariff pressures and domestic challenges

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MPC Cuts Rate as Expected; SCB EIC Forecasts Another Cut in H1 Next Year

Market Insight

Outlook quarter 4/2025

Market Insight

Exports softened in October, but full-year growth remained firm on accumulated gains earlier in the year. Meanwhile, imports continued to accelerate, particularly for gold.

Market Insight

Another wake-up call: Hat Yai floods show Thailand is still unprepared for Climate Change

Market Insight

Exports in September surged to the highest growth in 42 months, with full-year performance expected to exceed earlier projections, while imports also expanded sharply.

Market Insight

The MPC maintained the policy rate at 1.5%. SCB EIC expects one more policy rate cut in December, bringing the rate down to 1.25%.

Market Insight

The Government Announces Policy to Advance the Net Zero Target by 15 Years: A Major Turning Point Reshaping the Future of Thai Industry

Market Insight

The U.S. tariff barriers are becoming more apparent, leading to a significant slowdown in exports in August