Market Insight

RECAP MOTOR SHOW 2026: Signals from Booking Figures and Their Implications for the Thai Economy

Motor Show 2026 reflects only part of Thai auto demand, and its bookings cannot yet be counted as realised economic value.

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Market Insight

“From the Iran War to the World’s Dinner Table”: Implications for the Food Supply Chain to Watch Closely

Market Insight

Thailand’s household debt-to-GDP ratio rose to 86.7% at end-2025, while a fragile labour market and elevated living costs are expected to further constrain household debt-servicing capacity.

SCB EIC assesses that Thailand’s household debt problem is likely to face rising risks.

Market Insight

Middle East Conflict Disrupts Global Energy Markets: Prolonged High Natural Gas Prices to Keep Electricity Costs Elevated for at Least Two Years

Market Insight

Exports in February 2026 slowed, while imports accelerated to the highest level in 50 months; monitoring the impacts of the Middle East war and the outlook for US tariffs.

Market Insight

Outlook quarter 1/2026

SCB EIC revises down Thailand’s economic growth in 2026 to 1.4%, while inflation is expected to rise to 3.2% due to higher energy prices

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Market Insight

The Global and Thai Economies Amid the Uncertainty of the Middle East War

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Thailand on Inflation Watch from The Middle East Conflict

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The MPC cut the policy rate to 1%, ahead of market expectations: signals a prolonged low-rate stance, with further easing conditional on downside risk.

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Thai exports in January 2026 recorded the strongest growth in four years, but the outlook faces rising uncertainty from additional US tariff measures.

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SCB EIC believes the February 8 election results have lowered political risks to the economy, as a new government is expected to form quickly and restore stability.

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Global Supply Set for Turbulence… the United States Moves to Impose a 25% Tariff on AI Chips

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Crane Collapse… Exposing Structural Problems in the Construction Sector: Reform or Repeat the Same Mistakes?

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Thai exports grew strongly by 12.9% in 2025, while export growth in 2026 is expected to slow considerably, weighed down by the impact of U.S. tariffs and a high base effect.

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Exports in November continued to expand for the 17th consecutive month, but face downside risks of a potential contraction in 2026 amid mounting headwinds.

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SCB EIC expects slower CLMV growth in 2026 amid U.S. tariff pressures and domestic challenges

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MPC Cuts Rate as Expected; SCB EIC Forecasts Another Cut in H1 Next Year

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Outlook quarter 4/2025

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Exports softened in October, but full-year growth remained firm on accumulated gains earlier in the year. Meanwhile, imports continued to accelerate, particularly for gold.

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Another wake-up call: Hat Yai floods show Thailand is still unprepared for Climate Change